Mysore Derby Day Analysis and Selections 19/10/14
RACE 1:A class IV race over 1400 mts
The Derby day starts with a race that's obviously meant for lower class horses. This race is quite open though
The First Bullet seems like the one top contender in this race,last run showed some spark and now with this saddle support is expected to do well
The main challenge should come from the duo of Thunder and Inspirator,the latter has been running some suggestive races and now with these pretty weights can hope to have a bold show.
The Mumbai import in Winged King is what I term an adventurous venture,on relative class factor it does have an edge,the jockey declared is a bit of a concern,is tracking well too. Don't be surprised if it runs a mighty good race and is my personal e/w fancy for this race
My Choice:#1 Winged King Win/Place
Race 2:A class V race over 1200 mts
Amanda no doubt us the most consistent horse in this lot,add to that a switch in jockey to the now red-hot apprentice,has the best credentials to win this race
Reva and Danube have shown some spark and can be termed as the relative upsetters in this race
Fortaleza last run was in a classic,was prominent till they went past the two furlong marker,now the drop in distance means it has a decent chance over here,the stable is known for trying their horse in steel shoes,this is my personal fancy
My Choice:#3 Fortaleza Win
Race 3:A class IV race over 1400 mts
Barring an upset which is a real possibility in this race down the like of Guapo,this horse on most account is between the top three horses
Forest Tern-Last win was drifting out,came with a rerun,should run this distance well. A class IV winner
Hector-Last win was quite easy to the eye,class IV winner and subsequently working well
Speed Hawk-A winner of a maiden race,placed here on that note,change in shoes is a bit disturbing. Gets the same jockey again and should run a good race and is my personal fancy in this race
My Choice:#2 Speed Hawk win
Race 4:A class III race over 1200 mts
The Muse is the one that comes right into top contention in this race,thanks to its recent form and saddle support now
Bourbon Street ran a blinder on its course and seasonal debut,has come down to class III after a solitary show in class II,keep an eye can do well here
Hackett has what I term as the 'deceptive' chance in this race,low weights,has won over this distance in the same class in the same course and also has a red hot apprentice on duty,my personal fancy
My Choice:#12 Hackett Win
Race 5:A class IV race over 1400 mts
No wonder the first leg of the the jackpot pool on the big day seems tricky
Ice pick Willie and Arun have both won their last starts,the first named can hope to repeat in this set
Cash Is King is prepared well has had many runs this season and is now running with superior saddle Support,cannot be ignored
Sunday Cruz has been running some good races,faces a relatively weak bunch and may score here in this set,the jockey has scored 40 winners,has that handicap factor against it though. My personal fancy
My Choice:#9 Sunday Cruz Win
Race 6:A class I race over 1400 mts
This is a quity race,has too many contenders. I am not going to go into the merits and demerits of them due to time constraint
My Choice:#5 Winston
Race 7:The Mysore Derby (Gr.1)
Irony is a part of racing,this field comprising of only 6 horses,now has on offer the highest stakes money to the winner of the four Monsoon Derbies..... This Derby is complex,so complex that the chances of the obvious favourite is something to ponder about in my opinion. Again,three things will decide the outcome of this race,Distance Suitabilty,class and fitness I think Obilenna Princess is an outsider in this race,she has run some good races in her career and here she is merely making up the numbers Of the Five horses,here is my opinion BOLD MAJESTY-Has that experience,and failed to live upto expectations in its last start,has finished third over this same trip at Malakpet. Is a classic winner plus add an advantage with a change in saddle support to the ever imposing A.Sandesh SPREADEAGLE-Last win was in exemplary fashion ? True that..... But the jockey has been cautioned for Whip Offence Has not been in the tracks since then,the only horse in this field who is a Gr.1 winner over this same trip (Borsalino came into this race with two Gr.1's over the same trip yet found Windstream too good. Thus SpreadEagle is not a mere certainty in my opinion ) THE ARTIST-bred in purple,short of experience . This horse is working well in the trial tracks and has won two races in good fashion. Pedigree suggestive of staying the trip,the only factor is class which will be known only after the race in this horse's case,obviously has a fair chance to succeed ZUCCHERO-Second to War Command,in the Mysore 2000 gns,retaining same jockey. Has been prepared very well by the fresh trainer. One factor bothers me,can it clad it's maiden in a derby? Racing is a funny lot at times.... FATAL ATTRACTION-drifted out in the 1000 guineas last time,The sure line has stamina influences,is the obvious outsider in this race,a classic placed horse with a top jockey who may like an extended trip..... Small field races depend upon one more factor,Pace. Where will the pace come from in this race? I don't know to be quite honest. Jockey capability thus counts a lot BOLD MAJESTY thus stand a good chance to avenge his earlier failure,keep an eye on Spreadeagles weight charts. The Artist,has the pedigree,good from,can stay the trip,good saddle support and only factor is an experience in an elite company like this. Both his wins were easy,I feel that he has a decent enough chance to place here and is my personal fancy for this race,may upset too MY CHOICE:#3 The Artist Win/Place |
RACE 8:A class II race over a mile
Amistead,Noble Reward,Strike The Stars,Aumento and Shaka Zulu can be termed as possible contenders here with Absolute Brave
Cool Approach is a mile specialist can be an upsetter
My personal fancy here is Strike The Stars,is a winner in a million over mile,lost its form,last run suggestive and now may put up a bold show
MY CHOICE:#10 Strike The Stars win
RACE 9:A CLASS III RACE OVER 1400 mts
Another fantastic face to close the day off
True that there are horses like Igah Igah Iagh,Trust Me Boy and Startstruck who can make top bids in this race
However SnowAngel who won her last start pretty well is my personal fancy,placed well on promotion this Mumbai import is now being partnered by John and cannot be ignored
My Choice:#4 Snow Angel
INVESTMENT PLANS (Update Time:10:30 am)
1)HACKETT WIN 1500
2)WINSTION WIN 1500
3)STRIKE THE STARS WIN 1500
4)SNOW ANGEL WIN 1500
Have a nice day,gamble responsibly
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