Mumbai 01/04/17

Hello Friends,
                        By the time this post gets completed it would be just an hour or two before racetime,anyways hope it helps those who could read it

RACE 1:

Multigory:won maiden race in his second start and has won class class 4,class 3 and class 53-79 races subsequently,the last two start winner has hit sublime form and is the one to watch out for

Jeanine:A first start winner over 5f to clear maidens has subsequently won class 3 and class 2,pune has been a better hunting ground.

Pugnacious:Has age on his side and so are the weights tilted in his favour,on class is a maiden winner,class 4 winner and class 3 winner,hence is the one to beat

During the fag end of the season horses who are in form can hope to do much better and with that logic I feel Multiglory should have a big say in the opener

Race 3:

Forest Fire:A maiden,having second start in class V over extended trip with a + switch in jockey,keep an eye,fair record in class IV

Sheer Belief:Another maiden horse but not doing well in any of the starts so far,better to see how he fares

Windohek:A 11 race maiden,finished second once over the same trip and same class hence one should not discard this horse based on a not so good run last time out,the allowance must add to the chances.

Arc of Passion:Another maiden in the fray but then again hasn't shown anything of a improving kind,hence better to wait and see how he fares here

Star Scholar:A fourteen race maiden,change of jockey to trevor and appeals on yard power and jockey credentials,on form and class should be there but not the best

Maqsad:Aged 7 and still a maiden and taking on younger horses,has ? aplenty

Goldstreak:A 6yo maiden and will carry lightweight here,best performance till date is second in a class V affair,may find this field difficult.

Foeset Fire and Windohek are the 2 horses that are in my contention,the class factor seems to be with the former and is a natural choice for this race.

Race 4

Eigers Tiger:A class IV winner over 1800 to clear maiden ranks and a higher class performer who is dropping down in trip now after dropping down in class last time out.

Democrat:Same class winner last time out over a scurry and now retained in the same class is trying out an extended trip

Kiss From a Rose:Won a hard fought race last time out in class 5 and on promotion with a win on her back,keep an eye

Ventura:Aged 7 years and is an upsetter at best in this bunch.

Respect:A 10 race maiden with a couple of second places over the 7f trip,drops in distance and has a change in saddle

Drogo:A seven race maiden with a best performance over 7f,last run is ? as it was interfered heavily and should be in the hunt as trainer opted for same trip again.

Jeena:Twice winner in class 5,should do well in age company,against youngsters is a ?

Carnival:only one career run so far in which it ran last,resect to trainer and jockey should be given,not to be ignored

Sweep Aside:Age and last 2 runs looks to be negatives,giving this horse a pass here

Pretty Angel:A 14 race maiden with a good performance over the same trip in last start and has a change in jockey,keep an eye

Eigers Tiger,Kiss from a rose,Respect,Drogo,Carnival and Pretty Angel all have a thing or two going for it,the first named horse has exposure of higher class and that should be a reason to call it a top contender,Drogo had a miserable last run but can hope to do better here with a better run in the straight,I think Eigers Tiger has it in him to run well provided he does not find the distance sharp.

Race 5:

Texas Gold:A lone winner in the pack and the terms arent tilted in his favour anways a chance based on what he did

Gnostic Eyes:Well bred but jockey choice for this kind of a race not inspiring any confidence

Anniversary Girl:Another horse where the choice of rider is putting ? on intent.

Daffodil:one of the three fillies with a definite chance in this race,last start was at Bangalore where she ran a maiden million and with that benefit of a run should be in the hunt

Daughter Of The Sun:Has a huge change in jockey,was silently fancied last start and showed herself in good stead despite running green,has a chance to improve and is a contender

Forest Fairy:Bred well and ran second to Benefactor who is considered to be a good type adds to her chances,another horse with a scope of improvement

On class alone Texas Gold being a winner and graded race runner is a contender,however he is giving weight to the bottom three fillies who are bound to improve and in such a scenario I'm going with the million runner in Daffodil to land the odds in what should be a keenly contested race.

Race 6: 

Vision of Romance:Maiden Class winner and Terms winner,hovering around in the same class since then,last start ran like a scalded cat over a mile and is an interesting contender based on that run

Batman:Maiden Class Winner and backed it up with a win over a mile in class 3,last run was in class 54-79 and now on virtual demotion,keep an eye

Country Music:Maiden class winner in Pune and class 3 winner at delhi followed by a run in the North Indian Derby,another intersting contender

Classicus:A couple of winners in class 4 this season over the 7f trip,first run in class 3 but still has the form to mask the class factor

Zambian:A class IV winner twice in its extended carrier,age is an issue and so is form,keep an eye.

Makino:A maiden class winner earlier in his career and followed it by winning a race this february,last start was over a mile in this class and with a drop down to favourable distance should not be discounted

Sensex:A lone win over the same trip and a good second in this class and bottom weights in this race makes this a live contender in the penultimate race of the day

I for think Classicus/Makino/Sensex should throw a winner and amongst the three I feel Makino has an edge in class factor going for it.Vision Of Romance on a repeat performance with respect to last run should be an upsetter

Race 7:

Grey Flannel:Same class (class 4) winner and with same winning jockey repeating again,contender

Fabio:A first start winner over the 5f trip,a class 3 runner on seasonal debut,last run showed some spark and is an interesting contender here.

Gran Paradiso:A class 4 winner with a change in jockey now,5f seems to be pet distance.

Pristina:Lower class winner with a decent run in class IV d-2 last start,may find this set difficult.

Pacific Dunes:Lower class winner with a not so decent run in class IV d-2 last start,may find this set difficult.

Gregorian Chants:Maiden class winner,dropped a lot of ratings due to bad form,difficult unless there is a huge change in form

Logano:The proverbial upsetter due to experience and in and out running,difficult to pass a judgement

Be Bold:Class V winner over 5f,followed by a decent run last time out,keep an eye.

Knights Quest:A class V winner over 6f and finished close to the heels of winner in same class last time out,keep an eye

Petronius:A maiden still after 4 runs,last run showed a spark and as such should be in the hunt today.

Shape The Scape:Lower class winner with some bad runs in the near past,outsider at best.

Ame:Class v winner over the same trip,a very good value horse given the early speed in the race and also the distance factor going for it.

Dusky Siren:Maiden,unknown entity

Fabio/Knights Quest/Petronius are the three shortlisted horses for me,Fabio scores on the class factor and should be the top contender in this race.

Days Value Bet:5-4 Daffodil 

Have a good day,Gamble responsibly.








Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Bangalore 04/11/16 (3 Selections)

Mumbai-Short selections 225/03/17