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Saturday, 28 February 2015

Mumbai invitation Day 2

Hello Friends,
                   The day 2 of the invitation weekend has three graded races amongst others and one expects it to be a competitive day,here's my analysis and personal fancies for the day 

RACE 1:FOR 3yo horses over 1400 mts 

Admirality will be the odds-on favourite in this race,I expect the odds to be too low and any betting interest should be on the second placed horse

Phenomenal Memory,Shadow Fax,Master of trinity are the three horses that may fight for that spot 

Shadowfax comes out of a good race,a million where it finished in the judges frame and as the pedigree suggests a longer trip is my choice of the three 

My Choice:#5 Shadowfax Place

RACE 2:For Maiden 3yo only over 1000 mts 

ABIGAIL who made his debut not so long ago ran a good third,although he hasn't been in the tracks since the last run it is very suggestive of a good effort over here 

There are horses like Calissa,Springloaded who have made suggestive runs in their previous starts and as such can be termed as challengers 

There is however two horses that need a closer look Corabella who although a debutant looks like a horse that may give a concern or The Big Revival who was showing out in tracks before his debut ran a rather low-key race,now with the switch in jockey and some good preparation to go by is a serious threat to whoever who wants to win this race 

My Choice:#1 The Big Revival Win

RACE 3:A race for class III horses over 1000 mts 

ZABARWAN literally trounced the class IV opposition it took on in the last outing,this front running horse has been turned in again in this class III affair and will be the strong challenger 

There are horses like Extreme Love (who is bidding for a hat-trick,but now in ass III) Himalayan Queen (was favoured in the last run,has been tracking extremely well after that failure) Shania (demotee with a Claimer on top,has raced against very good company and is the threat to whatever that has to win here 

Cezanne put in a decent effort over this same trip last time out,has a switch in jockey and has placed in the same class,a fair chance here 

Then there are the likes of Born To Win,Artiste,Soothsayer who will be looking to make use of the low weights and the expertise of jockeys 

All said and done,Cezanne who has run well over this distance,has all chances to redeem its winnings ways and is my personal fancy 

My Choice:#3 Cezanne Win 

RACE 4:The Major P.K.Mehra Supermile (Gr.I) [4yo+]

The formlines of Circle of Bliss were so good that it was being hailed as the second best older horse behind Amazing Grace going into calcutta,true her form is dented but over a mile at Mumbai she should not be ignored more so because she has the services of ace jockey Richard Hughes

Of the other older horses,Machiavellianism who had one bad run last time out is an Indian 2000 mts winner and as such is a course and distance winner which many visiting horses can't boast of,on class has it on him to give a good account of himself 

Arrogant Approach is coming off a very good win in his last start,the win was too good to the eye that there is every chance that this horse will be in the thick of things at Mahalakshmi 

Field Marshall who is also a classic winner of the highest order over a mile is sparingly raced,the Upsetter if any in this race as I feel the classic crop of its age was the best in recent years

Then although there are horses like Acclaimed,Shaktiroop,Mr Gorgeous in the fray,the classic generations two horses will attract a lot of attention 

GodSpeed  won a fighting race when she won against Maisha in the Indian 1000 guineas,it is learnt that she went into the Oaks on back on a setback and did not seem to like the Oaks trip and as such is a top contender here with a drop down in trip 

Then there is Zachary whose best distance is a mile and that's pretty evident when one goes through its record,that's not all it has won 4/5 starts over a mile and the only time it went down was when Be Safe trashed it over the mile in the Indian 2000 Guineas,thus on that logic Zachary looks like having a very good chance in this race 

My Choice:#11 Zachary Win (Upset:Field Marshall)


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