Mumbai Analysis and selections for 19/12/13

Hello Friends, 

                         A card of 9 races has been framed,here is my personal analysis and my personal choices for the day! 

RACE NO 1:A RACE FOR CLASS V HORSESOVER 1600 mts

IN ALL PROBABILITY THIS RACE LOOKS LIKE A MATCH RACE BETWEEN Mt.TIANMEN AND STARFIRE LADY! 

The younger horse had finished close to the winner and has done reasonably well in its previous outings,is regular on the trial tracks and is the horse to be beaten here

STARFIRELADY although has no recent form,it is evident that the trainer wanted to denote the horse,now back to its winning class with a massive switch in jockey and to its winning track has a decent chance to score! 

My Choice:#1 STARFIRE LADY FOR WIN 

RACE NO 2:FOR CLASS II HORSES OVER 1400 mts (4 yo+) 

Step Up with its great win in the lower class is the horse to be beaten here,especially because it is now running at a distance it will be comfortable with,also retains the winning rider, can it defy the penalty or not is the ? 

Emerald Valley and Mon Ami are two horses ridden by top jockeys of this centre,the former may find this distance out of his compass and the latter stands a good chance here 

Sumo who gm has matched strides with the best of his classic generation has put in a suggestive run last time out,jockey change from a claimer to a full in-form jockey and on that count can it sustain in the straight is a ? 

That leaves us with Zakynthos who in its last run was made to set the pace over 1600 to SILVER ARROW,now with no such obligations and a change to a good claimer,has a decent chance to score over Mon Ami and Sumo 

MY CHOICE:#3 Zakynthos For Win 

RACE NO 3:A CLASS IV RACE 4yo OVER 1000 mts 

Based on its last run and massive jockey switch Zoom zoom seems like the horse that will be a hot favourite here,this horse going by the two factors mentioned has a good chance to win here 

BLIND DATE which is also putting in some consistent performances over the same distance in its recent outings can improve upon that effort 

CAESARIA also likes to travel this distance and on its day can raise many eyebrows and so does its stable mate 

But WINDS OF CHANGE which won quite easily in the lower class over 1200,now drops in distance and has a fair chance to repeat,especially as the last win was in open class V and on promotion is seen in an age restricted class,place looks moral but a small win fling is justifiable too given its early manner of win 

MY CHOICE:#8 WINDS OF CHANGE FOR WIN/PLACE 

RACE NO 4:A CLASS V RACE OVER 1200 mts 

Sam (ex cornelian) is a horse that has changed stables,has hit the front many times over longer distances and now in this distance with a claimer in the saddle can possibly give a welcome return to its new master,but then it has to beat some very speedy horses in 

Blush which now gets a top jockey astride and in this company stands a good chance so does Tropical Zone who has dropped so much down in the scales and now with Sandesh engaged to ride can make a race out of it 

There are two youngsters in Brown Dynamite and Magic vision here who can prove out to be good too! 

But have a look at Silverville,this horse after racing in February is returning track after a longish gap,has been tracking well in its recent spurts and in a field like this can make its presence felt 

MY CHOICE:#4 STORMVILLE FOR WIN/PLACE (upsetter) 

RACE NO 5:A race for maiden 2 yo over 1400 mts 

Three horses form the Goldie brown stable in this race and Top Commander commands most of the attention here due to its trackwork and decent jockey aboard and the horse to be beaten here. 

With that being the lone horse that is impressive from the debutants I feel the winner should come from either SHIVALIK SHOWERS OR AL SHAMSHEER 

SHIVALIK SHOWERS is now under a major switch in saddle support and also has an experience of a run 

Al Shansheer a progeny of the great stayer Yeats can make a race out of it,as its earlier run in the million it was beginning to make up some ground at the closing stages and now stands a very good chance of winning here 

MY CHOICE:#1 Al Shamsheer for win 

Race no 6:A class III race over 1600 mts 

This is very well an open race has some serious contenders in the fray here 

Of the older lot Nush although penalised for its second behind New world has it to put another gallop and swamp em all! But it won't be as easy as it seems as some very good 3 yo's are in the fray 

Swashbuckler whose last run is best forgotten now has change in equipment and saddle support,this being the first ride of French jockey Louis Beuzelin I guess it is worth watching how this horse fares here 

Of the other 3 yo horses Negotiator which is a class IV winner at too weight failed to run well over the 2000 mts trip last time out and the jocky had objected for interference,working well on the tracks and can improve on his last effort 

WENTWORTH whose last run was eye catching now takes on a class III set after its impressive win over the same trip,on promotion here with the same jockey is the best horse in the field here and can very well win

But,the case of Rekindle is the same as WENTWORTH but has been pitched in within 10 days of its win and retained in the same class as it had won last time,it is evident the intent is to exploit the form of this horse and try another win,that's how I feel about it and this shapes as the best chance bet for the day 

MY CHOICE:#1 REKINDLE FOR WIN 

RACE NO 7:A CLASS IV race over 1000 mts (4yo) 

It is pretty evident form the fact that both Bourbon Street and National Pride have run behind some very good youngsters in their previous starts,the race may very well be confined to them. Yes there is Arusha and the possible upsetter in Marengo in this race but I guess the race is only between the first two named horses 

National Pride performed well in the upper class with the same jockey who is Riding now and on that factor alone seems a bit superior to the other horse and can win this race here 

MY CHOICE:#5 NATIONAL PRIDE FOR WIN 

RACE NO 8:A race for maiden 3 yo only over 1400 mts 

On its last run in the open class IV Fabulous Florence ran well to finish a good second to Wentworth and on that count shapes as the horse to be beaten here 

Feast Of Love who can spring a surprise and Summer Eclipse despite its inability win in open class V appeals here. 

But if one goes by the trackworks of the horses Doc Holiday looks to have a fighting chance in this race as it has put in some good work over the last few days 

MY CHOICE:#1 Doc Holiday for win 

Race no 9:A race for horses in class V over 1200 mts 

Shockalot the 3 yo is doin some nice track spurts and on that note looks like a top contender here 

Pretty in Patapong Always Smile and Plan B are the ones from the upper class who appeal good here 

Yet with Shockalot there seems to be good tracks and with a good jump can see this race through 

My Choice:#3 Shockalot for win 

Days Best:STARFIRE Lady 

Good Bets: Zakynthos/Al Shamsheer/Doc Holiday 

have a nice day,gamble responsibly