06/12/15 Analysis and Selections

Hello Friends,
                        The Mumbai card has eight races slated for the day with the running of The Deltin Stayers Challenge as the feature of the day along with The Metro Motors H M Mehta Sprint Challenge as an additional attraction in the course of the day,as such both races have a decent purse as per Mumbai standards and the accreditation of a graded status may follow in the coming years for these races.Here is my analysis and personal fancies for the day

Race 1:A class III race over 1200m (5yo+) 

 Sindbaad and Basic Life two horses in the bottom of the scales look like possible contenders here the second named horse has been hovering around in these weights for sometime and with the claimer may try to take advantage of the feather weight

Vasco Da Gama albeit the long layoff has winning form,keep an eye

Then there is the trio of Hunt For Heads,Beyond Horizon and Samba Warrior in the fray and these three have faced each other earlier too and to my understanding I feel that Beyond Horizons having a run benefit this season earlier has a good chance to make full use of it and is my personal fancy

My Choice:#1 Beyond Horizon Win 

 Race 2:A race for 2yo Maidens over 1200m

 Never Say No,seems to be better prepared of the four horses with Hasta La Vista seemingly having both the pedigree and jockey in its favour

There is not much to analyse here and may the best horse win

Race 3:A class V race over 1600m

 Dia,Marvel,Charging Empress,Pracs are the four horses that I could shortlist in this race

Dia although a maiden has been in the follow-list of me for sometime and now that it gets another jockey of good repute again i think the intent would be positive enough

Pracs has been running some good races too and should be in the contention again

Marvel and Charging Empress are the two other horses that have age and even better jockeys on them and of the two since the latter has gone over a mile it happens to be my personal fancy

My Choice:#1 Charging Empress Win/Place

 Race 4:A class II race over 1400m

 Rule Downunder and Melinda are basically the contenders according to me in this race with Alderly Edge who had won a 6f race in one of its earlier starts as a possible upsetter here

Brahmachari,the lone 3yo in the field has a run benefit earlier won over the 7f trip at pune and as such cannot be ruled out

My Choice:#2 Melinda Win 

 Race 5:A Terms race over 1000m (4yo+)

 Brynhill,Wayout,Dancing Phoenix and Ladybird are the four horses  that look like possible contenders to me here

Brynhill best run was when it finished second to Solomon on invitation day and is a good 1000m horse

Ladybird although a good contender and is receiving weight from all with a good jockey in the saddle may find herself out of depth in this field,I may be wrong as horse is from top yard

Way Out holds the record for the 5f trip and now is a good thing here

Dancing Phoenix has done well over the trip and has been running at Bangalore Summer season too and has been failing over 6f trips,now with Sandesh repeating after a long time and going over the 5f trip is my personal fancy here

My Choice:#5 Dancing Phoenix Win 

 Race 6:A class IV race over 1400m 

 Remember The Time who cleared maiden ranks last time finds itself in a good company for it and Few Dollars More who after having some questionable runs comes into contention here yet again

Replica also gets a positive jockey here and as such would be in contention

Have a look at Zephir who is now making rather a belated debut is prepared well and is my personal fancy

My Choice:#11 Zephir Win 

 Race 7:A terms Race over 2400m 

 Quasar the multi-classic and multi-graded winner is taking on Shivalik Showers and Azurro here

May the best horse win :)

Race 8:A class IV race over 1200m

 The Soprano,Troppa Bella,Kandinsky and Cool Runnings are the four horses that seem like probable contenders here with Colm O Donoghue's mount running after a lay-off

Of the four Troppa Bella seems to be prepared well and is the strongest contender here

Kandinsky has been a subject of a missing Tongue Strap run last time out as a favourite and now with the trainer-jockey combo winning races in recent weeks is a clear danger to all

Then there is Cool Runnings who did well with V.Jodha to win over a shorter trip is now going over an extra furlong yet has been subject to a change in jockey to Sandesh and is seemingly well placed again in the same class and is my personal fancy here

My Choice:#10 Cool Runnings Win 

 Investment Plan (Note:The Investment Plan is for the authors own self assessment and is not a recommendation of any sort,the dividends of Bangalore Tote are taken for calculation purposes)

 Bankroll:37,600

 1-1 Beyond Horizons 1000

 5-5 Dancing Phoenix 1000

 6-11 Zephir 1000

 Closing Bankroll:34,600

 HAVE A GOOD DAY

 RETURNS (Updated at 5:45 pm)

 5-5 Dancing Phoenix 50 5000

 New Bankroll:34600+5000=39600

 As I told you friends before that November's start analytically and almost through out the month was not upto expectations and as such I started my old Investment Plan again to instill confidence not to my readers but for myself......

Here are some statistics after I started the Investment Plan

Opening Bankroll:25,000

 Closing Banroll:39,600

 Profit/Loss:+14,600

 Total Investment Plan Bets Posted:43
Total Investment plan Bets Passed:16

 SR=37.20%














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